Al Swift 2¢ Worth

Know Your Enemy: This One is the Deficit

It is easier to give things away to the people in a democracy. Than it is to take things back. Many of the world’s industrialized democracies are learning that now. So is America.

In Greece—with perhaps the direst threats to its economic existence of any nation — there were riots when the government tried to control the situation by cutting or withdrawing benefits that had been doled out over the years.

And look at the negative reaction Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) got when he tried to tamper with Medicare. We await the Democrat’s plan but it is slow in coming because, though they will cut different things, their cuts will no any less unpopular.

Neither party adequately prepared the pubic for what we face. Wringing hands about deficits has gone on for years, much of it nothing more than hand-wringing or crying “Wolf.” Serious discussions could not be heard through the din.

Besides, It is very easy to sit here in Washington, DC and learn all the serious facts about a situation like this and then assume your constituents are equally well informed. MISTAKE.

Average Americans are not given a staff, and full time work and the Librar of Congress to help them know these things. They work at something else, then mow the lawn, weed the garden, pay the mortgage, coach Little League, save for their kids’ college and more. Of course, they learn about the deficit. They don’t like it. But I doubt they understand it well. Which makes them sitting ducks for the demagogue who says he is going to balance the budget by eliminating “Waste, Fraud and Abuse.” (Incidentally, there are a lot of reasons for elimination abuse but what is it and exactly how much does eliminating abuse save?)

We will not balance the budget on that comfortable dream.

Besides, most citizens are not really aware of what various programs cost. I was told – repeatedly – by my constituents when we went through all this during the Reagan years that we could balance the budget by eliminating foreign aid. The facts were that foreign aid accounted of .6% of the budget. (Note where the decimal point is.)

I believe Americans will do what is necessary to keep our nation strong. They always have when war threatens. The trick here is to provide them with the information they need to see that our economic crisis is as potentially damaging as a war. You will not do that in one speech or while accusing the other party of being at fault. A concentrated, bi-partisan effort to tell our people clearly what we face could go a long way in preparing them for the sacrifices the solution will require.

There will have to be cuts in military spending. There will have to be added revenue (read tax increases). Sorry conservatives. There will have to be reform of Medicare and probably Social Security. Sorry liberals.

But I believe the public will go along, grumpily too be sure, but go along if we clearly explain the need before we try to pass the bills.

We are having trouble solving this deficit problem because we got the cart before the horse — again.

Posted on Tuesday, August 16th, 2011
By: csh
Posted in: 2011

The Pundits Repeat Themselves — Again

Last June in this space, I – a Democrat – pooh-poohed the “Death of the Republican Party.” The media seems to love to bury a party whenever it has a bad election. I recalled that services had been held for both the GOP and the Democrats multiple times before and said “If you love the Grand Old Party I would not despair too much. It’s down, but it is a long way from out.”

Five months later much of the media is preparing a hearse for the Democrats to use next year. Either these commentators are so naïve they should be doing book reviews of “Goldilocks and the Three Bears” or they are stricken with congenital exaggeration. (Dan Blaz of the Washington Post is one f the few exceptions.

November 3rd was not a great day for the Democrats. It was a good day for the Republicans. But there was nothing that came close to being a sea change. In Virginia each party should have learned a lesson. The Dems should have learned that weak candidates and hopelessly inept campaigns don’t win. The GOP should have learned that a moderate message is much more successful than a messianic right-wing mixture of rage and certitude; especially so when combined with a tactically perfect campaign. (Likewise, the House seat the GOP lost in New York to a Dem when the likes of Sarah Palin shoved a Republican moderate out of the race.) We’ll see if anyone learned anything. They often don’t.

But my point here is not the frequently deaf ears of the respective parties and their candidates, but the fundamental wrong-headedness of what has come to be called “the chattering class” – the political reporters and pundits who seems to need to make each election a life-changing, cataclysmic event.

All elections have implications. So did this one. But, compared with the Democrats victory of 2008, the Reagan Revolution of 1980 or the Gingrich-plotted GOP victory of 1994, it was just an election. It was better for the elephants than for the donkeys, but it did not revolutionize the status quo.
Come on people. Get real.

Posted on Tuesday, August 16th, 2011
By: csh
Posted in: 2009
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